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The Kansas City Chiefs are set to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in the NFL divisional round on Saturday, with the Chiefs being the favorites to win.
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Oddsmakers have priced the Chiefs as nearly a double-digit favorite to win the game,
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with their fourth-ranked DVOA and scoring differential, and the team's strong playoff history with quarterback Patrick Mahomes,
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who has an 8-3 record in the playoffs and has never failed to reach the conference championship round in his four years as a starter.
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However, the Chiefs have struggled as big favorites in recent years, going 11-18 against the spread when favored by seven or more points and just 1-2 ATS in such games in the playoffs.
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The Jaguars, on the other hand, have had success as underdogs this season and coach Doug Pederson has a perfect 6-0 ATS record as a playoff underdog with five outright wins.
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The writer suggests betting on the Jaguars +8.5.
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